Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.678195 3.089500 3.543758 4.082836 4.705417 5.402226 6.241850
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.111762 2.645447 3.285322 4.109760 5.145189 6.404403 8.055109
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.694102 2.280483 3.035799 4.081654 5.495475 7.345122 9.957015
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.340693 1.924501 2.726280 3.910533 5.620851 8.010369 11.618892
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.074446 1.634317 2.449013 3.724754 5.680968 8.582044 13.239163
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.928201 1.489104 2.349907 3.772470 6.077913 9.690848 15.828822
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.781756 1.316765 2.178797 3.675556 6.227689 10.435411 17.967136
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.720192 1.269891 2.197092 3.883743 6.900911 12.119629 21.934573
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.654426 1.204100 2.171605 4.009640 7.448059 13.667861 25.919860
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.581697 1.113586 2.087716 4.014897 7.774118 14.865438 29.454136
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.494107 0.981385 1.907349 3.809657 7.667818 15.235984 31.450203
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.461106 0.949224 1.910681 3.959855 8.276898 17.074754 36.686290
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.435787 0.930824 1.942672 4.182672 9.090864 19.496536 43.665887
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.400284 0.885765 1.913916 4.274497 9.646008 21.475184 50.061851
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.362366 0.829491 1.852996 4.286602 10.029000 23.145984 56.078930
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.316995 0.749312 1.727604 4.132308 10.005721 23.897012 60.066805
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.276258 0.673349 1.600041 3.951478 9.887680 24.403458 63.542675
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.255844 0.642826 1.573939 4.012331 10.373439 26.452597 71.341701
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.228782 0.591631 1.490348 3.915520 10.442681 27.470427 76.609841
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.221572 0.589880 1.529188 4.141843 11.399037 30.945567 89.280958
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.210321 0.575758 1.534275 4.279102 12.138405 33.967465 101.259145
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.194303 0.546257 1.494497 4.286551 12.516735 36.059012 110.921465
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.170894 0.492614 1.381516 4.068314 12.207885 36.146069 114.531304